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National Grid in house
research
In-house research by National Grid scientists
We give here, where available, the abstracts of papers published
by National Grid’s own research scientists. They are presented
in chronological order, but to make it easier to find a paper, they
are also indexed here by subject area:
Reviews of the science
Exposures at work and at home
Fields from Power Lines
Electric fields, ions and airborne pollutants
Note: Dr Jeffers has published further papers on this subject as a
private individual since leaving National Grid, which are not listed here.
EMF Exposure Limits
Epidemiological studies
Power Engineering Journal
September 1992 217-224 Overhead line design in relation
to electric and magnetic field limits B J Maddock
Designers of overhead power lines have to contend with many
technical and economic factors in their work. More recently,
yet another has been added to the list – electric and
magnetic fields. This article points out the principal design
features which affect the fields from lines and summarises
the guidelines and standards which exist around the world
for power-frequency fields. It is based on the author’s
lecture to the IEE Power Division on the 20th February 1991.
|
J. Soc. Radiol. Prot. 5 (December
1985) 179-185 Alternating electric and magnetic
fields near electric-power equipment: are they a health hazard?
J C Male, W T Norris, B J Maddock and J A Bonnell
Central Electric. Res. Labs., CEGB, Leatherhead, UK
Abstract. Electromagnetic fields from overhead
power lines have long been of interest because of the potentials
and currents which may be induced in neighbouring structures.
Such potentials can give rise, for example, to momentary small
discharges (microshocks) when a person touches a conducting
object close to a line. If annoying, these can be prevented
by appropriate screening or earthing. In recent years, however,
questions have been raised concerning possible direct effects
of the fields on health, though none has yet proved real, despite
extensive studies. The authors first consider the nature and
magnitudes of the power-frequency electric and magnetic fields
near transmission lines or in substations and the effects they
are known to produce in people exposed to them. The authors
then outline the considerable world-wide research effort at
present devoted to identifying possible health hazards that
such fields may present. Finally, they consider the idea of
introducing regulations to limit the field exposure of people
who occupationally or otherwise spend time near high-voltage
power-transmission plant. |
J. Radiol. Prot. 14 (March 1994)
67-75
Measurements of static magnetic fields in homes in
the UK and their implication for epidemiological studies of
exposure to alternating magnetic fields
J Swanson
Technol. & Sci Labs., Nat. Grid Res. & Dev. Centre,
Leatherhead, UK
Abstract. The variation of static magnetic
fields within and between 55 homes in an area of south east
England was measured. In general, fields varied by up to +or-10
mu T from the unperturbed geomagnetic field. They varied more
in the corners of rooms (standard deviation 2.6 mu T) than
in the centres (1.2 mu T). The field in the bedroom was uncorrelated
with the field in the living room of the same home. For this
sample of homes, the spread of field within a typical home
was greater than the spread between homes. Therefore it is
not meaningful to categorise homes by a single value of static
field. This finding casts doubt on the suggestion that confusing
epidemiological results concerning childhood cancer and power-frequency
magnetic fields could be explained by a resonance mechanism
involving static fields. |
J. Radiol. Prot. 14 (June 1994)
155-164
Occupational exposures to power-frequency magnetic
fields in the electricity supply industry
C J Merchant, D C Renew and J Swanson
Nat. Grid Res. & Dev. Centre, Leatherhead, UK
Abstract. Reports a survey of the exposure
of staff in the UK Electricity Supply Industry to power-frequency
magnetic fields. Two hundred and fifty-eight staff from a
variety of jobs and locations wore a monitor for 1 week each.
The results form a substantial body of data which adds significantly
to the understanding of occupational exposures. The results
show that fields encountered in shops, offices and distribution
sites were roughly half those in power stations, which in
turn were half those in transmission sites. Office workers
based on transmission sites experienced higher fields (geometric
mean of individual time-weighted average fields: 0.48 mu T)
than those at headquarters offices (0.18 mu T). In power stations,
electrical workers experienced higher fields (0.46 mu T) than
mechanical workers (0.25 mu T). Amongst transmission and distribution
staff, the highest fields (1.16 mu T) were experienced by
transmission substation attendants and the lowest fields (0.17
mu T) by staff working predominantly in domestic environments.
|
J. Radiol. Prot. 14 (March
1994) 77-87
Exposures to power-frequency magnetic fields in the
home
C J Merchant, D C Renew and J Swanson
Technol. & Sci. Labs., Nat. Grid Res. & Dev. Centre,
Leatherhead, UK
Abstract. Power-frequency magnetic fields
in homes come from a variety of sources, internal (appliances
and domestic wiring) and external (electricity distribution
and transmission circuits). The authors present results from
a survey of the fields encountered at home by 258 adults over
one week each. Information on the major electrical features
of each of the homes was collected and related to the exposures
incurred. The strongest identified factor influencing exposure
at home was the presence or absence of overhead lines at voltages
of 132 kV or above within 100 m of the home (geometric-mean
TWA field encountered by participants 208 nT near lines, 54
nT not near lines). Occupants of homes near overhead lines
or supplies from 415 V to 66 kV did not on average encounter
fields significantly different to those in homes without such
lines (50 and 54 nT, respectively). Occupants of flats incurred
greater exposures than those incurred by occupants of semi-detached
and terraced houses, which were in turn greater than those
incurred by occupants of detached houses (109, 60, 56 and
43 nT, respectively). |
J. Radiol. Prot. 15 (September
1995) 259-260
Allocating extremely-low-frequency magnetic-field
exposure between sources
C J Merchant
Nat. Grid Technol. & Sci. Lab., Leatherhead, UK
Abstract. Where a person is exposed to
extremely-low frequency magnetic fields from a number of sources,
the question of how to allocate their total exposure between
the sources may arise. This is not trivial, because the total
magnetic field is the square root of the sum of the squares
of the resultants of the phasor addition of the three spatial
components of field, i.e. is not simply the linear addition
of the field from each source in isolation. Each source produces
an alternating field in three dimensions of space with a certain
phase. In other words, the resulting field is described by
a vector. An expression attributes the field between sources
in a way that treats all sources equivalently. It can be applied
in carrying out detailed exposure assessments of a person
subject to fields from a number of appliances and background
sources. |
J. Radiol.
Prot. 15 (September 1995) 253-258
Correlation of residential magnetic fields, road type
and traffic in the UK
C J Merchant
Nat. Grid Technol. & Sci. Lab, Leatherhead, UK
Abstract. Traffic has been proposed as
a confounding factor in studies of residential power-frequency
magnetic fields and ill health. For confounding to be possible,
magnetic field and traffic must be correlated. This paper
shows that there is some correlation in the UK. The power-frequency
magnetic fields from electricity distribution are lower in
homes on cul-de-sacs than in those on residential through
roads. There is a tendency for there to be higher magnetic
fields in homes on residential through roads expected to carry
more traffic. This may reflect the fact that the routes followed
by traffic and electric-power distribution within residential
areas are often related. The correlation of magnetic field
and traffic density was not shown to extend to homes on main
roads. |
IEE Proc.-Gener. Transm.
Distrib., 142 (September 1995) 481-486 Magnetic
fields from transmission lines: comparison of calculations and
measurements J Swanson
Abstract. An experiment has been performed
to compare the calculated and measured magnetic fields produced
by a double-circuit 400 kV transmission line. The phase currents
were measured in the substation at one end of the line, taking
particular care to measure the zero-sequence currents accurately,
and the earth-wire current was measured at the span where
the experiment was conducted. These currents were used to
calculate the magnetic fields, using a number of computer
programs based on Ampere’s law. the magnetic field was
measured at 22 positions ranging from 100 m on one side of
the line to 500 m on the other side. Measured and calculated
fields generally agreed well. The largest errors were ±7%
±1 nT. These errors are attributed to a mixture of
random errors in the calibration, resolution and synchronisation
of the measuring instruments, and systematic errors stemming
from the measurement of zero-sequence currents.
|
J. Radiol. Prot. 16 (December
1996) 287-301
Long-term variations in the exposure of the population
of England and Wales to power-frequency magnetic fields
J Swanson
National Grid Technology and Science Laboratories, Kelvin
Avenue, Leatherhead, Surrey KT22 7ST, UK
Received 5 August 1996, accepted for publication 27 September
1996
Abstract. This paper estimates the change
in the average exposure of the population of England and Wales
to power-frequency magnetic fields between 1949 and 1989.
If magnetic fields are causally linked to disease with a linear
exposure - response relationship, this quantity is related
to the incidence rate of the disease. The exposure is divided
into components attributable to a number of sources, principally
residential background fields and fields from domestic appliances
and the transmission system. The 1989 average exposures from
these sources are estimated as 45 nT, 20 nT and 4.2 nT respectively.
For each source, an understanding of how fields arise is combined
with statistics on the use of electricity and demographic
statistics to estimate the change in exposure from that source.
These individual changes are then combined, weighted according
to the average exposure from that source. The estimated increase
in overall average exposure is by a factor of 4.5, which applies
to the whole population and also just to children. This increase
is slightly greater than the result obtained by the simpler
method of taking average domestic electricity demand per consumer,
and can be treated with more confidence. There are still numerous
approximations involved, some of which are identified and
discussed, with the conclusion that the estimated increase
is probably an underestimate. |
J. Radiol.
Prot. 16 (December 1996) 275-286
Net currents in underground distribution circuits
in the UK: implications for assessing magnetic-field exposures
J Swanson
National Grid Technology and Science Laboratories, Kelvin
Avenue, Leatherhead, Surrey KT22 7ST, UK
Received 2 May 1996, accepted for publication 15 September
1996
Abstract. In the majority of homes in the
UK, background power-frequency magnetic fields come from currents
in final distribution circuits. In these circuits, load currents
produce a negligible external magnetic field. The fields in
homes arise from net currents, produced when neutral currents
divert out of the distribution cable through earth connections.
This paper reports statistics on the prevalence of neutral-to-earth
connections and measurements of net currents. Neutral-to-earth
connections occur as part of protective multiple earthing,
which is applied to 64% of underground circuits and 32% of
domestic consumers' installations, and also occur accidentally
within up to 20% (and probably substantially more) of homes.
The 48 h average net current in a sample of 21 circuits was
3.6 A.
Because net currents are produced by diverted neutral current,
they vary as loads vary. However, neutral current is proportional
not to total load but to the unbalance between the three phases,
and this weakens the correlation between net currents and
loads. Individual unbalanced loads can lead to disproportionately
high net currents. These considerations suggest that the best
way of assessing average magnetic fields in residences (which
is necessary for epidemiological studies) remains by direct
measurement over at least 24 h. |
Int J Radiat Biol 1996 May;69(5):651-2;
discussion 653-7
Comment on the paper: enhanced deposition of radon
daughter nuclei in the vicinity of power frequency electromagnetic
fields.
Jeffers DE. |
J. Radiol. Prot. 17 (September
1997) 197-199
NOTE
Net currents in underground distribution circuits
in the UK
R F Cook, D C Renew and J Swanson
The National Grid Company plc, Kelvin Avenue, Leatherhead,
Surrey KT22 7ST, UK
Received 1 June 1997, accepted for publication 2 July 1997
|
J. Radiol. Prot. 17 (June 1997)
111-113
Does the exposure of children in the UK to background
residential power-frequency magnetic fields differ from that
of the whole population?
J Swanson
The National Grid Company plc, Kelvin Avenue, Leatherhead,
Surrey KT22 7ST, UK
Received 6 March 1997, accepted for publication 11 March
1997
Abstract. Background power-frequency magnetic
fields in homes in the UK vary with the category of accommodation.
The categories considered, in ascending order of average field,
are detached, semidetached and terraced houses and flats.
Because children occupy a different distribution of accommodation
compared with the population as a whole, they will on average
be exposed to a different background field. Using data on
fields from a survey of two hundred people and on distribution
of accommodation types from national statistics, it is estimated
that this effect leads to children being exposed to background
fields which are lower than those experienced by the population
as a whole, 54.2 nT, by an average of , a difference which
is barely significant. |
Int J Radiat Biol 1998 May;73(5):579-85
Comment on the paper: High-voltage overhead lines
and radon daughter deposition.
Jeffers DE. |
Bioelectromagnetics
1999;20(4):244-54
Comparison of residential power-frequency magnetic
fields away from appliances in different countries.
Swanson J, Kaune WT.
The National Grid Company plc, Leatherhead, Surrey, United
Kingdom. john.swanson@ngtuk.com
The purpose of this paper is to review measurements of residential
power-frequency magnetic fields made in different countries
and to determine whether average magnetic fields away from
appliances are higher in some countries than in others. The
paper includes 27 studies reporting measurements of residential
magnetic fields in samples of homes: 14 from North America,
5 from the United Kingdom, and 8 from other European countries.
Various factors that might make the results from individual
studies unrepresentative of average fields in the relevant
country are identified and discussed. Because distributions
of magnetic fields generally are approximately log-normal,
they are summarised by their geometric means. The best estimate
of the geometric means of long-term average background fields
in the United States is 60-70 nT and in the United Kingdom
approximately 36-39 nT. In other countries, there are insufficient
studies to draw firm conclusions on average fields. Measurements
of personal exposure are higher than measurements of background
fields, perhaps because they include exposures from appliances
and other sources in the home. The ratio of personal exposure
to background field seems, on average, to be approximately
1.4. |
J Radiol Prot 1999 Sep;19(3):213-29
Possible mechanisms by which electric fields from
power lines might affect airborne particles harmful to health.
Swanson J, Jeffers D.
The National Grid Company plc, Leatherhead, Surrey, UK.
Power lines produce alternating electric fields and modify
static electric fields in their vicinity. These electric fields,
if large enough, can alter the concentration or transport
of airborne particles (including particles harmful to health),
for example by causing deposition of charged particles, polarisation
of neutral particles, or by production of ions. It has been
suggested that this could lead to adverse health effects being
associated with power lines. Theoretical considerations and
experimental evidence relevant to eight separate postulated
mechanisms involving power lines and airborne particles are
examined. On theoretical grounds, none should lead to any
adverse health effect, primarily because the effects produced
are very small and are swamped by air currents or by gravity,
and because people spend limited time in the relevant conditions.
The experimental evidence also weighs against any adverse
health effects. Further, even if significant health effects
were produced, they would be different from those suggested
by existing epidemiology concerning power lines. |
Int J Radiat Biol 1999 Dec;75(12):1533-9
Effects of wind and electric fields on 218Po deposition
from the atmosphere.
Jeffers D.
National Grid Company plc, Surrey, UK.
PURPOSE: To estimate, under atmospheric conditions, 218Po
deposition on a sphere representing the human head and compare
with the effects of the maximum electric field to be found
under a transmission line. METHOD: The effect of the wind
in the absence of electric fields was calculated using the
Reynolds Analogy between heat and mass transfer. The effect
of the electric field was shown to be large compared with
that of turbulence. A 'capture radius' due to the field was
then estimated and charged 218Po particles blown into this
region were assumed to be captured. RESULTS: The deposition
ratio was proportional to gammaV0.4E0(0.67), where gamma =
charged fraction of 218Po, V = velocity and E0 = surface electric
field. With the charged fraction ranging from 0.9% to 3.2%,
a surface field on 280 kV m(-1) and a wind speed of 3 m s(-1),
the deposition ratio ranged from 3.4 to 9.3. The surface field
is several orders of magnitude higher than the average personal
exposures that have been measured in epidemiological studies
and the effect does not appear to be of epidemiological significance.
At low velocities, the predictions of this model are in agreement
with the measurements of Henshaw et al. CONCLUSIONS: 218Po
deposition by environmental AC fields cannot be advanced as
an explanation for the reported associations between childhood
leukaemia and electrical installations. |
Epidemiology 1999 Jul;10(4):465-7
Childhood leukemia and electrical appliances.
Jeffers DE. |
Int J Radiat Biol 2000
Dec;76(12):1685-91
Comment on the papers: increased exposure to pollutant
aerosols under high voltage power lines; and
Corona ions from powerlines and increased exposure to pollutant
aerosols.
Swanson J, Jeffers DE. |
| Radiat Prot Dosimetry 2001;95(2):181-3
A note on the charging of aerosols by overhead line
corona.
Jeffers D.
Elevated concentrations of corona ions have been measured
in the vicinity of high voltage overhead lines. It is shown
that the integrated ion exposure of aerosols in the corona
plume is of the order of (x/u)n(x) where n(x) is the ion concentration
at distance x downwind from the line and u is the wind speed.
Estimated ion exposures are of order 10(11) m(-3) x s, less
then 1% of the 10(13) m(-3) x s needed to cause saturation
charging of 20 nm aerosols. It is suggested that it is not
valid to postulate that AC corona is a health hazard as a
consequence of its charging aerosols in the size range 20-125
nm. |
Health Phys 2002
Sep;83(3):395-401
Basic restrictions in EMF exposure guidelines.
Renew DC, Glover ID.
National Grid Company, Leatherhead, Surrey UK
Different bodies have set guidelines restricting exposure
to electric and magnetic fields. The limits at power frequencies
recommended by these guidelines and the scientific basis and
rationale for setting them have been reviewed, starting with
the WHO Environmental Health Criteria 69 on Magnetic Fields,
published in 1987. These guidelines are all designed to limit
the induced current density to 10 mA m(-2), sometimes reduced
by an additional safety factor of five for the general public.
While published guidelines have, to date, universally adopted
a restriction based upon induced current density, the internal
electric field is the more fundamental quantity in determining
biological effects. It is recommended that consideration be
given to using the internal electric field rather than current
density in future guidelines. Those who are responsible for
setting guidelines need good scientific information on which
to be able to set their limits. While there is already a significant
weight of scientific evidence upon which exposure restrictions
can be based, there is a need for more research to reduce
uncertainties and to enable greater precision in the setting
of limits. Some suggestions for future research directions,
particularly aimed at further understanding of the interaction
of electric fields with the nervous system, are suggested
in this paper and are developed more widely in the following
papers covering the proceedings of the EPRI Guidelines Science
Workshop held in Brussels in June 2000. |
Health Phys 2002 Sep;83(3):324-32
Exposure guidelines for low-frequency electric and magnetic
fields: report from the Brussels workshop. Sheppard
AR, Kavet R, Renew DC.
The EMF Exposure Guidelines Science Workshop was held to
evaluate the information base for guidelines for electric
and magnetic field exposures at extremely low frequencies,
to identify research needs, and to discuss how best to apply
scientific knowledge in developing exposure recommendations.
Although the existing guideline values are based on electrostimulation
of nerve and muscle tissues, guidelines must also consider
controversial studies of potential health effects from chronic
exposures at environmental levels that are far too weak to
cause electrostimulation. The size of the safety factor applied
in specifying exposure limits reflects a variety of factors
that introduce uncertainties. These include confidence in
existing dose-effect relationships, population diversity,
the reliability and precision of techniques to control over-exposure,
and completeness of the information base, particularly regarding
long-term effects. Specific research questions that can change
the level of uncertainty meaningfully were identified in these
areas: biophysical mechanisms of electrostimulation; the range
of thresholds throughout exposed populations; cancer causation
in children and adults, including a possible role for contact
currents; cognitive, behavioral, and physiological effects
on the central nervous system; improved dosimetry; and better
understanding of electromagnetic interference with implanted
biomedical devices such as pacemakers, defibrillators, and
physiological monitors. This report introduces ten papers
from the workshop that address these and related topics in
detail. |
Health Phys 2002 Sep;83(3):417-25
A transmission utility's experience of applying EMF
exposure standards. Swanson J.
National Grid, Leatherhead, Surrey, UK. john.swanson@ngtuk.com
Exposure standards for power-frequency electric and magnetic
fields are often structured in terms of basic restrictions
and investigation levels. For uniform exposures, investigation
levels help the user operate within the standard without concern
about exceeding the basic restriction. For non-uniform fields,
however, numerical calculations of induced currents in the
body may be necessary to determine compliance with the basic
restriction. Utilities have strong incentives to apply exposure
standards so that they do not impose unnecessary and unjustified
constraints on their operations. They are therefore likely
to be prepared to invest considerable effort in assessing
compliance. However, the standards are based on round numbers,
the values of tissue conductivity are not well characterized,
and the calculations needed to apply the standards are still
evolving. This suggests that, scientifically, this level of
effort devoted to distinguishing compliant and non-compliant
exposure scenarios is not justifiable. |
| J Radiol Prot. 2003 Sep;23(3):279-303.
A method for assessing occupational exposure to power-frequency magnetic fields for electricity generation and transmission workers.
Renew DC, Cook RF, Ball MC.
A new method for assessing both current and historical occupational exposures
to magnetic fields has been developed and used in health studies involving a
cohort of electricity generation and transmission workers in England and Wales.
The exposure values are derived by calculation from engineering and operational
data about the power stations rather than from measurements.
They are provided for each of 11 job categories for each year of operation of
each power station represented in the cohort. The engineering data are used
to determine the average magnetic fields in specified areas of work within the
power station and then applied to information about the time spent in these
areas by each of the job categories. The operational data are used to adjust
the exposures for each year according to the power station output for the year.
Earlier methods used measurements or the advice of panels of experts to
provide exposure scores for a number of job categories across all power stations
and years. Such methods were not able to distinguish exposures from different
power facilities or during the different years of their operation.
Measurement surveys at 10 power stations of the magnetic fields in the work areas
gave confidence that the calculations were realistic. Exposure measurements on
215 workers at three power stations were compared in job groups with the
exposures predicted by the method. The Pearson correlation coefficient was
0.86 and the slope and intercept of the line of best fit were 0.87 and 0.07 microT
respectively. The method gives a good prediction of measured exposure and is being
used for studies of occupational exposure to magnetic fields and leukaemia, and of
cardiovascular disease, and a reanalysis of brain cancer. |
| BMJ 2005;330:1290-3
Childhood cancer in relation to distance from high voltage power
lines in England and Wales: a case-control study
Gerald Draper, Tim Vincent, Mary E Kroll, John Swanson
Objective
To determine whether there is an association between distance
of home address at birth from high voltage power lines and
the incidence of leukaemia and other cancers in children in
England and Wales.
Design
Case-control study.
Setting
Cancer registry and National Grid records.
Participants
29081 children with cancer, including 9700 with leukaemia.
Children were aged 0-14 years and born in England and Wales,
1962-95. Controls were individually matched for sex, approximate
date of birth, and birth registration district. No active
participation by cases or controls was required.
Main outcome measures
Distance from home address at birth to the nearest
high voltage overhead power line in existence at the time.
Results Compared with those who lived >600 m from a line
at birth, children who lived within 200 m had a relative risk
of leukaemia of 1.69 (95% confidence interval 1.13 to 2.53);
those born between 200 and 600 m had a relative risk of 1.23
(1.02 to 1.49). There was a significant (P<0.01) trend
in risk in relation to the reciprocal of distance from the
line. No excess risk in relation to proximity to lines was
found for other childhood cancers.
Conclusions
There is an association between childhood leukaemia
and proximity of home address at birth to high voltage power
lines, and the apparent risk extends to a greater distance
than would have been expected from previous studies. About
4% of children in England and Wales live within 600 m of high
voltage lines at birth. If the association is causal, about
1% of childhood leukaemia in England and Wales would be attributable
to these lines, though this estimate has considerable statistical
uncertainty. There is no accepted biological mechanism to
explain the epidemiological results; indeed, the relation
may be due to chance or confounding. |
| Radiation Research 2006 Apr;165(4):470-8
Biophysical mechanisms: a component in the weight of evidence for
health effects of power-frequency electric and magnetic fields.
Swanson J, Kheifets L.
Comparatively high exposures to power-frequency electric and
magnetic fields produce established biological effects that are
explained by accepted mechanisms and that form the basis of
exposure guidelines. Lower exposures to magnetic fields
(< 1 microT average in the home) are classified as
"possibly carcinogenic" on the basis of epidemiological studies
of childhood leukemia. This classification takes into consideration
largely negative laboratory data. Lack of biophysical mechanisms
operating at such low levels also argues against causality.
We survey around 20 biophysical mechanisms that have been
proposed to explain effects at such low levels, with particular
emphasis on plausibility: the principle that to produce biological
effects, a mechanism must produce a "signal" larger than the "noise"
that exists naturally. Some of the mechanisms are impossible, and
some require specific conditions for which there is limited or no
evidence as to their existence in a way that would make them relevant
to human exposure. Others are predicted to become plausible above
some level of field. We conclude that effects below 5 microT are
implausible. At about 50 microT, no specific mechanism has been
identified, but the basic problem of implausibility is removed.
Above about 500 microT, there are established or likely effects
from accepted mechanisms. The absence of a plausible biophysical
mechanism at lower fields cannot be taken as proof that health
effects of environmental electric and magnetic fields are impossible.
Nevertheless, it is a relevant consideration in assessing the
overall evidence on these fields. |
| Bioelectromagnetics. 2006 May 24;27(7):545-552
Childhood leukemia, electric and magnetic fields, and temporal trends.
Kheifets L, Swanson J, Greenland S.
During the past 25 years concern has been raised about the
possible health effects of extremely low frequency (ELF) electric
and magnetic fields (EMFs), particularly regarding childhood leukemia.
Comparison of changes in electricity consumption (a surrogate for
exposure) to changes in childhood-leukemia rates, known as ecologic
correlation, have been used to argue both for and against the
association between magnetic fields and childhood leukemia. In
this paper we explore what can be learned from such an ecologic
approach. We first examine separately the evidence on trends in
exposure to EMFs and on trends in leukemia rates, and then compare
the two. Both incidence rates and exposures have increased, but
there are so many approximations and assumptions involved in
connecting the two trends that we cannot regard the ecologic
evidence as providing any meaningful evidence for or against a
causal link. |
| Ann N
Y Acad Sci. 2006 Sep;1076:318-30
Power-frequency electric and magnetic fields in the light of Draper et
al. 2005.
Swanson J, Vincent T, Kroll M, Draper G.
National Grid, London, WC2N 5EH, UK. john.swanson@physics.org
Power-frequency electric and magnetic fields are produced wherever electricity is used;
exposure is ubiquitous. Epidemiologic studies find an association between
children living in homes with the highest magnetic fields and childhood
leukemia, but bias is a possible alternative to a causal explanation. A new
study, Draper et al., looks at residence close to high-voltage power lines, one
source of exposure to such fields, and its design avoids any obvious bias. It
finds elevated childhood leukemia rates, but extending too far from the power
lines to be straightforwardly compatible with the existing literature. This
leads to an examination of alternative explanations: magnetic fields, other
physical factors, such as corona ions, the characteristics of the areas power
lines pass through, bias, and chance. The conclusion is that there is currently
no single preferred explanation, but that this is a serious body of science
that needs further work until an explanation is found.
|
| J Radiol
Prot. 2007 Mar;27(1):41-58. Epub 2007 Mar 6
Investigation of the sources of residential power frequency magnetic
field exposure in the UK Childhood Cancer Study.
Maslanyj MP, Mee TJ, Renew DC, Simpson J, Ansell P, Allen SG, Roman E.
HealthProtection Agency, Radiation Protection Division, Centre for Radiation,
Chemical and Environmental Hazards, Chilton, DidcotOX11 0RQ, UK.
Thereis an unexplained association between exposure to the magnetic fields arising
from the supply and use of electricity, and increase in risk of childhood
leukaemia. The UK Childhood Cancer Study (UKCCS) provides a large and unique
source of information on residential magnetic field exposure in the UK. The purpose
of this supplementary study was to investigate a sample of UKCCS homes in order
to identify the particular sources that contribute to elevated time-averaged
exposure. In all, 196 homes have been investigated, 102 with exposures
estimated on the basis of the original study to be above 0.2 microT, and 21
higher than 0.4 microT, a threshold above which a raised risk has been
observed. First, surveys were carried out outside the property boundaries of
all 196 study homes, and then, where informed consent had been obtained,
assessments were conducted inside the properties of 19 homes. The study found
that low-voltage (LV)sources associated with the final electricity supply accounted together for 77%
of exposures above 0.2 microT, and 57% of those above 0.4 microT. Most of these
exposures were linked to net currents in circuits inside and/or around the
home. High-voltage (HV) sources, including the HV overhead power lines that are
the focus of public concern, accounted for 23% of the exposures above 0.2
microT, and 43% of those above 0.4 microT. Public health interest has focused
on the consideration of precautionary measures that would reduce exposure to power
frequency magnetic fields. Our study provides a basis for considering the
options for exposure mitigation in the UK. For instance, in
elevated-exposure homes where net currents are higher than usual, if it is
possible to reduce the net currents, then the exposure could be reduced for a
sizeable proportion of these homes. Further investigations would be necessary
to determine whether this is feasible. |
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